Financial Projections in Business Plans
One of the most difficult sections to write in a business plan
is the proforma and financial sections. After all it is most difficult
to what exact costs you will incur or what level of sales volumes are
actually achievable. So often businesses are faced with excess
government controls at all levels which take thousands of dollars in
fees, additionally legal fees, delays and lawsuits often ensue and slow
the project. You cannot know in advance what roadblocks or brick walls
city planners, country agencies or Federal Regulators will come up
with, as they often change their minds and add new laws in the middle
of your already delayed project. These are only a few of the problems
facing entrepreneurs when writing financial projections. Other issues
occur from an over enthusiastic entrepreneurial positive attitude and
business plan writers should double the money needed and triple the
time to complete the project to be on a reality based plain. Thus if
you beat your projections everyone is happy. Including bankers,
investors and yourself. If folks are not happy you may find yourself in
court defending yourself and making excuses, many of which many not be
your fault, but in the end you are hung out to dry as the buck stops
with you.
To assist you in writing your financial projections
section of your business plan, I have prepared a sample. This sample is
from a most simple business model; a mobile car wash, which is part of
a franchise system. Please feel free to print this article out and make
notes in the margins and then take a legal pad and sketch out your own
financial projections and start-up capital needed. I sincerely hope
this sample helps you.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Financial Projections
We
will follow our business plan to keep us in a profitable situation at
all times. We will try to keep our car wash truck busy at all times. We
will stay on top of collections and make sure all invoices go out on
time and are directed to the person who authorizes payment. We will
treat cash flow as a primary objective in order to reach our financial
projections. We will be sure to have the right mix of services.
Gross Revenue Percentage Breakdown
Personal Car Washing 60%
Graffiti, Industrial, Concrete 20%
Fleet Washing 15%
Other 5%
Gross Revenue:
Insert Graph or Pie Chart Here.
*
Note: Car washing of personal vehicles will be 60% of our business.
Over 80% of these monies will be collected at the point of sale by
either:
· Cash
· Check
· Credit Card
Some will
actually be paid in advance on credit cards thus keeping us on the
proper course to achieve positive cash flow at all times. Very few
customers will be allowed to be billed monthly.
** Note: Fleet
washing and industrial (graffiti, concrete, etc.) will only account for
35% of gross receipts. Twenty-five percent of this will be collected at
the time the work is done, leaving only 26.25% of gross receipts to be
billed at month's end.
Billing
On fleet accounts, all
invoices will be net due in fifteen days. After fifteen days they will
be considered late and 2% will be charged. If, in the future, our mix
of percentages of services performed changes, we may offer a 2%
discount for payment in ten days and a 1% discount for payment between
ten and fifteen days. We don't anticipate changing our mix. However, if
our city awards us a graffiti contract for $75,000 a year we will
definitely accept it.
Anticipated Gross Sales From Services
In
the appendix there is a first year pro forma of projected sales. We
believe these figures are attainable. For various reasons we will take
a 70% scenario for budgeting purposes in case everything doesn't go as
planned. Just to be on the safe side. We project a conservative gross
sales dollar amount to be:
$124,630 Projected Gross Revenue X .70
70% Of Projected Dollars = $ 87,241 A Conservative Safe Number To
Project As First Year Gross Receipts
Anticipated Business Expenses
We
project costs of $56,112 for our first year of expenses. Please see
spreadsheet in the appendix. We will add in a 20% fudge factor just in
case we have any unanticipated expenses in year one. We project a
conservative business expense dollar amount to be:
$56,112
Anticipated Expenses X .20 20% Fudge Factor = $11,222 Possible
Additional And Unanticipated Expenses During Year One
$56,111
Anticipated Expenses +11,111 Unanticipated Expenses = $67,334 Total
Anticipated And Unanticipated Business Expenses For Year One.
Profit Per Truck
Please
see the graph on the following page of the "Net Profit One Truck". This
graph is based on the spreadsheets "Anticipated Gross Sales From
Services" minus "Anticipated Business Expenses".
We realize that
if a conservative approach is taken, we must use the 70% scenario for
Gross Sales and add 20% to Business Expenses. We project a conservative
net profit for the first truck in year one to be:
$ 87,241 Gross
Receipts - 67,334 Expenses = $ 19,907 First Year Profit. $ 19,907 First
Year Profit divided by 12 Number Of Months = $ 1,659 Per Month Profit,
A Good Conservative Number.
"Lance Winslow" - If you have innovative thoughts and unique perspectives, come think with Lance; www.WorldThinkTank.net/wttbbs
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